2008年10月30日 星期四

最後一痛

一年前的今日,全城亢奮。當年今日,恒指以歷史高位31,638點收市。那是大家對股神必恭必敬的年代,其拍紙簿儼然成為發達秘笈,也成為報章賣紙必殺技。上榜冧把,即使P/E過百倍,也獲熱烈追捧。馬會的大莊家地位正式被取代。中環這個賭場一日上落,閒閒地過千點,但勇者無懼,人人深信(也是迷信)股市正朝向股神預言的高位邁進。有人開門請君上順風車,以為齊齊開往富貴大道,怎料真箇是富貴如浮雲?

浮雲消散後,剩下的是遍地血淚。特首在回歸十周年慶典中宣布香港踏入的「黃金十年」,居然由毒奶毒債揭開序幕。甚麼經濟四大支柱,原來都是短樁的,骨牌一樣倒下來。 樓市由呎價動輒過萬元,跌至中半山六千大洋也要被估價不足,未能承按;苦中作樂,想吃個冬甩甜下心頭,卻是話無就無;連在街頭拾紙皮變賣,換取微薄的一個幾毫,也跟迷債一樣貶值至零。

至此,雄踞書店暢銷書架的一系列《投資秘笈》、《理財必讀》開始讓路,倉底封塵的《心靈雞湯》終於重現人間。

不堪回首過去十年一次又一次的痛擊──98亞洲金融風暴、樓市暴瀉、科網泡沫爆破,一直低處未見低。曾幾何時我們在苦海中信誓旦旦要記取教訓,以後要腳踏實地,謝絕不勞而獲!但轉個頭,有人話好掂,接著人人說必勝,然後又如鬼上身一樣,甚麼慘痛回憶第N次拋諸腦後……前輩常說春去冬來,萬物生死有時,也許真是躲也躲不了?然而這一次教訓,可否認真記下這種痛,可否真是最後一次?

4 則留言:

Alvin 提到...

不是潑冷水﹐六四加上"九七大限"﹐令香港人自從九十年代初開始就染上"揾快錢"毒癮﹐加上當時紅籌和地產泡沫﹐全城人都炒得如痴如醉﹐全職炒股炒樓的大有人在。本來亞州金融風暴是戒除毒癮的大好機會﹐但可能港人毒癮實在太深﹐近兩年市道一轉好﹐加上有祖國這條大水喉﹐"揾快錢"毒癮又發作。前車可鑒﹐亞州金融風暴加上沙士引至的長期經濟寒冬也無法為港人戒毒的話﹐睇怕今次金融海嘯都未必能。興幸的是今次大陸亦自身難保﹐應無閒錢調來香港炒旺番個市﹐減少了不必要的誘惑﹐但不幸的亦是因為沒有大陸閒錢打救香港﹐香港過份倚賴金融和地產的經濟可能會十分難翻身。

vy 提到...

Where is the GOS "God of stock" Uncle 4? He might have lost billions in this crisis, however, I don't feel pity for him as he is super rich anyway. I feel sorry for those who listened to his tips and lost!!!
Thanks to those media which interviewed him and listed his picks on the front page of newspapers and on the TV news!!! Do you think his stock picks deserve a corner on the front page or 2 minutes on prime time news?

Michael Leung 提到...
作者已經移除這則留言。
Michael Leung 提到...

I think people should know Uncle 3/4/5 is nothing, if they are rational enough. However it is not the case of Hong Kong.

I don't think we shouldn't blame the media for reporting any "interesting topics," as we are in a market economy.